Welcome to a world of zero (and negative) interest rates…
From Standberry Digest, 2/17/15
We've been covering this topic at
length in recent Digests. Central banks around the world are cutting interest
rates… And today, we have nine major sovereigns with negative yields. The Wall
Street Journal reports that 16% of global government bonds now sport negative
yields.
Blue-chip companies like software
icon Microsoft and consumer-products legend Apple are issuing long-term debt at
rates below 1%. Swiss food giant Nestlé issued debt maturing in a little more
than a year with a negative yield. In other words, investors are paying Nestlé
to borrow their money.
Most of the negative sovereign yields are in
Europe today. Certain durations of German, Swiss, French, and Danish bonds (to
name a few) all sport negative yields. The European Central Bank just initiated
quantitative easing, purchasing 60 billion euros of bonds a month, which is
part of the reason yields are plunging.
And corporations are flocking to
the European debt markets to tap cheap financing. This year, American companies
have raised 11.65 billion euros of bonds, the busiest start since 2008,
according to Bloomberg. And several blue-chip American companies hold European
debt with negative yields. From Bloomberg…
New York-based Philip Morris, the
world's largest publicly traded tobacco company, has 750 million euros of 5.875
percent bonds due September that yield 0.154 percent. Notes due June 2016
issued by McDonald's, the world's largest fast-food chain, yield 0.163 percent,
according to Bloomberg data.
American firms are also turning to
Switzerland, which is outside of the European Union. As we discussed in the
January 15 Digest, Switzerland's central bank – the Swiss National Bank –
pushed interest rates negative after it unpegged the franc from the euro.
Despite the negative rates, the
franc still grew stronger… and yields remain depressed. More from Bloomberg…
Of General Electric's 10
Swiss-franc bonds, seven yield less than zero, with its 625 million francs
($671 million) of 2.25 percent notes due December 2016 yielding minus 0.242,
according to Bloomberg data. Philip Morris's 325 million francs of notes due
December 2016 yield minus 0.071 and McDonald's 250 million francs of 1.875
percent notes due June 2016 yield 0.063 percent.
Yields are depressed and will likely stay low
for a while. For one, there isn't much growth around the world today. And
deflationary pressures (like the price of oil falling in half) are dominating
the market.
Plus, thanks to quantitative
easing, trillions of dollars of capital are looking for safety today. And that
money is pouring into high-quality corporate and sovereign debt. As we've seen,
investors are so desperate for safety – and apparently devoid of other
opportunities – they're happy to pay a small annual fee just to make sure they
get their money back.
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